Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.187029 0.216621 0.249361 0.288271 0.333263 0.383664 0.444433
2025-08-24 0.141891 0.181927 0.230859 0.295076 0.377188 0.478753 0.614096
2025-08-31 0.115750 0.159243 0.216196 0.296262 0.406036 0.551473 0.759217
2025-09-07 0.099074 0.144357 0.207082 0.300349 0.435708 0.625374 0.912094
2025-09-14 0.083852 0.128406 0.193196 0.294331 0.448518 0.675306 1.035403
2025-09-21 0.072935 0.116768 0.183342 0.291881 0.464816 0.730461 1.171224
2025-09-28 0.065322 0.108914 0.177806 0.294674 0.488531 0.798359 1.333514
2025-10-05 0.061384 0.106273 0.179873 0.309412 0.532459 0.902282 1.565326
2025-10-12 0.057099 0.102395 0.179263 0.319295 0.568978 0.997439 1.792889
2025-10-19 0.053008 0.098267 0.177602 0.326900 0.602016 1.089672 2.025310
2025-10-26 0.048749 0.093261 0.173721 0.329877 0.626759 1.169423 2.243634
2025-11-02 0.044121 0.086976 0.166744 0.326170 0.638428 1.226165 2.424760
2025-11-09 0.039073 0.079364 0.156587 0.315520 0.636202 1.257710 2.563442
2025-11-16 0.036692 0.076737 0.155709 0.322962 0.670365 1.363157 2.861535
2025-11-23 0.033913 0.072943 0.152049 0.324261 0.692070 1.445950 3.122592
2025-11-30 0.031746 0.070153 0.150076 0.328735 0.720697 1.545580 3.430133
2025-12-07 0.028805 0.065336 0.143315 0.322146 0.724788 1.594031 3.632183
2025-12-14 0.026512 0.061673 0.138605 0.319465 0.737036 1.661073 3.882965
2025-12-21 0.024894 0.059349 0.136566 0.322522 0.762472 1.759695 4.216995
2025-12-28 0.024357 0.059475 0.140035 0.338655 0.819880 1.936492 4.754428
2026-01-04 0.023465 0.058648 0.141211 0.349474 0.865881 2.091732 5.258051
2026-01-11 0.022468 0.057443 0.141357 0.357798 0.906736 2.239064 5.759248
2026-01-18 0.021238 0.055514 0.139547 0.361057 0.935360 2.359772 6.207370